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Can the Chargers Football Team Finally Win the AFC West This Season?

2025-11-16 13:00

As I sit here watching the Chargers' preseason preparations unfold, I can't help but wonder if this could finally be their year to conquer the AFC West. Having followed this team through countless promising seasons that ultimately fell short, I've developed a healthy skepticism about their chances—but something feels different this time around. The parallels between the Chargers' situation and the upcoming FIVB Volleyball Women's Club World Championship qualification process strike me as particularly relevant. Just as those Asian volleyball teams are entering their knockout phase where every match becomes crucial, the Chargers are approaching what I'd call their own knockout season where every divisional game could determine their fate.

Looking at their roster construction, I'm genuinely impressed by how General Manager Tom Telesco has addressed last season's weaknesses. The offensive line additions, particularly the signing of veteran left tackle Rashawn Slater to a $75 million extension, show a commitment to protecting their franchise quarterback that we haven't seen in previous administrations. Justin Herbert's development trajectory reminds me of those elite volleyball setters who elevate everyone around them—his precision passing and decision-making have improved each season, and I believe he's ready to join the conversation about the league's top quarterbacks. The defense, which ranked 23rd against the run last season, has been completely overhauled with strategic additions that should push them into the top 15, if not better.

What really gives me hope this season is the coaching stability under Brandon Staley. In his third year, we're seeing his defensive philosophy finally take root with players who fit his system perfectly. The Chargers have invested approximately $45 million in defensive upgrades this offseason, focusing particularly on secondary depth—something that killed them in crucial divisional games last year. I've spoken with several players during training camp, and the consensus is that they're tired of being the "almost" team in the division. There's a different energy around the facility, one that reminds me of championship teams I've covered in the past.

The AFC West competition remains formidable, of course. The Chiefs still have Patrick Mahomes, which automatically makes them division favorites until proven otherwise. The Broncos have significantly improved their coaching staff, and the Raiders always play the Chargers tough regardless of their record. But I'm seeing vulnerabilities in those teams that weren't there in previous seasons. Kansas City's receiving corps has taken a step back, Denver's quarterback situation remains uncertain despite Russell Wilson's presence, and Las Vegas seems to be in a transitional phase under their new regime. These small cracks in the division's armor give the Chargers a genuine opening if they can capitalize early.

When I analyze their schedule, the first six games will be absolutely critical—much like those knockout matches determining Asia's volleyball representatives. They need to establish dominance within the division early, particularly against the Raiders and Broncos in weeks four and six. The Chargers have historically struggled with fast starts, but I'm hearing from inside sources that they're approaching these early divisional games with playoff-level intensity. Their success will hinge on winning at least four of their six divisional matchups, something they haven't accomplished since 2009.

The comparison to volleyball's qualification process isn't just metaphorical—it speaks to the mental approach required. Those volleyball teams understand that every match could determine their championship future, and the Chargers must adopt that same knockout mentality throughout their 17-game schedule. Too often in past seasons, I've watched them play down to inferior opponents or collapse in crucial moments. This year's team appears more mentally resilient, with veteran leaders like Keenan Allen and Joey Bosa setting a more professional tone during offseason workouts.

From a strategic perspective, the Chargers' offensive versatility should create matchup nightmares for their divisional rivals. The combination of Herbert's arm strength, Austin Ekeler's receiving ability out of the backfield, and what I believe is the deepest receiving corps in the division gives them schematic advantages we haven't seen in years. Defensive coordinators I've spoken with privately express concern about containing all their weapons simultaneously. If offensive coordinator Kellen Moore can effectively deploy these assets—and early indications from camp suggest he will—this offense could easily rank in the top five league-wide.

My main concern remains their injury history, which has plagued this team for what feels like a decade. The Chargers led the league in adjusted games lost to injury for three consecutive seasons from 2020-2022, and while they improved to middle of the pack last year, their key players need to stay healthy for a full season. The sports science department has been completely restructured this offseason, with approximately $12 million invested in new recovery technology and facilities. If these investments pay off in keeping their core players on the field, I genuinely believe they have the talent to not only win the division but make a deep playoff run.

The special teams unit, often overlooked in these discussions, has been completely rebuilt after ranking dead last in Rick Gosselin's special teams rankings last season. They've brought in new coaching and several core special teams players specifically to address this weakness. In a division where games are often decided by narrow margins, improved special teams play could easily translate to 2-3 additional wins—the difference between watching the playoffs and hosting a playoff game.

As we approach the season opener, my cautiously optimistic prediction is that the Chargers will finish 11-6 and finally claim the AFC West crown that has eluded them for over a decade. The pieces are in place, the schedule sets up favorably, and the division rivals appear more vulnerable than in recent years. Much like those volleyball teams fighting for their championship spots, the Chargers understand that every divisional game carries knockout implications. After years of disappointment, I believe this organization has built a roster and culture capable of delivering on their considerable potential. The journey begins now, and for the first time in many seasons, I'm genuinely excited about their prospects rather than just hopeful.